Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-04-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61450 16471 263 185 46 0 0 0
OW 1 1459 459 891 145 4 0 0
VODI 0 276 241 1240 764 19 0 0
ODI 0 24 42 551 1294 509 16 0
CDI 0 1 13 324 1650 2443 1380 22
VCDI 0 0 0 56 781 5400 26384 69939
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60915 16570 239 200 22 0 0 0
OW 0 1583 404 934 169 10 0 0
VODI 0 352 241 1210 885 106 0 0
ODI 0 50 80 618 1371 726 15 0
CDI 0 2 17 403 1595 2458 1373 7
VCDI 0 0 1 163 1206 6109 29203 65506
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61439 16677 215 152 22 0 0 0
OW 0 1473 447 631 87 3 1 0
VODI 0 192 270 1602 513 44 4 0
ODI 0 2 30 618 1528 205 12 0
CDI 0 0 7 379 1807 3013 591 30
VCDI 0 0 0 41 462 5236 25135 71875
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61815 16474 166 109 9 0 0 0
OW 0 1492 427 684 100 0 0 0
VODI 0 393 346 1258 390 24 2 0
ODI 0 47 73 882 1102 247 24 10
CDI 0 0 13 547 1949 2801 1639 92
VCDI 0 0 0 44 711 3937 22758 74178
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61815 16598 184 113 9 0 0 0
OW 0 1360 419 675 122 2 0 0
VODI 0 401 329 1230 348 25 1 0
ODI 0 46 74 898 1007 221 20 12
CDI 0 1 19 542 2031 2842 1731 109
VCDI 0 0 0 66 744 3919 22671 74159

Date: 2024-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62480 15971 144 79 27 0 0 0
OW 0 1626 472 586 132 3 0 0
VODI 0 557 282 1133 336 54 0 0
ODI 0 82 141 738 850 267 19 7
CDI 0 15 25 584 1877 2900 1922 45
VCDI 0 0 0 32 666 4571 24390 71730
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62480 16143 187 89 27 0 0 0
OW 0 1452 424 620 140 5 0 0
VODI 0 531 279 1063 304 53 0 2
ODI 0 103 144 718 811 226 17 9
CDI 0 22 30 609 1857 2950 2099 57
VCDI 0 0 0 53 749 4561 24215 71714

Date: 2024-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61764 16907 208 135 24 0 0 0
OW 0 1437 711 591 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 157 2070 367 10 2 0
ODI 0 1 9 455 1845 164 8 0
CDI 0 0 9 102 1733 3696 448 50
VCDI 0 0 0 34 234 4656 29134 67695
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61764 16258 241 187 41 0 0 0
OW 0 1497 391 589 131 11 0 0
VODI 0 547 307 1101 321 75 11 0
ODI 0 79 126 856 1001 227 58 0
CDI 0 4 19 548 2076 3004 2259 54
VCDI 0 1 10 106 679 5209 27264 67691

Date: 2024-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62073 16473 265 162 16 0 0 0
OW 3 1347 500 896 90 0 0 0
VODI 0 142 226 1458 683 15 3 0
ODI 0 4 10 439 1277 433 26 2
CDI 0 0 7 191 1721 3229 1100 23
VCDI 0 0 0 0 260 4609 25988 71072
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62076 15528 274 247 35 0 0 0
OW 0 1517 257 621 168 21 1 0
VODI 0 724 288 950 458 93 23 0
ODI 0 186 144 698 863 386 79 10
CDI 0 11 45 599 2055 3054 2388 53
VCDI 0 0 0 31 468 4732 24626 71034

Date: 2024-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62369 15959 200 150 16 0 0 0
OW 0 1664 431 669 104 1 0 0
VODI 0 355 362 1422 468 64 0 0
ODI 0 26 30 816 1220 300 70 6
CDI 0 12 18 328 2298 3061 1120 49
VCDI 0 0 0 26 542 6091 26966 67530
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62369 15045 239 323 86 21 0 0
OW 0 1653 246 391 149 42 32 0
VODI 0 961 299 877 265 106 55 1
ODI 0 302 181 985 801 242 99 20
CDI 0 55 76 804 2607 2814 2139 154
VCDI 0 0 0 31 740 6292 25831 67410


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