Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59035 12919 176 209 33 7 1 0
OW 804 1533 236 284 86 38 8 0
VODI 1827 714 244 559 356 113 8 0
ODI 1802 235 80 298 618 293 56 0
CDI 0 391 137 421 917 1578 827 3
VCDI 0 836 198 554 1206 6747 27108 57315
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58235 13504 126 129 30 2 0 0
OW 790 1818 224 266 91 35 5 0
VODI 1823 715 240 526 260 133 17 0
ODI 1806 261 109 357 544 272 64 0
CDI 0 321 132 439 755 1507 918 9
VCDI 0 975 179 527 1243 6913 28698 55812
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58541 13909 86 67 25 3 0 0
OW 838 1846 303 277 98 23 6 0
VODI 1810 507 271 579 305 81 21 0
ODI 1795 233 124 398 585 228 40 0
CDI 0 307 123 392 699 1988 799 0
VCDI 0 159 92 437 1324 6607 25776 59108
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56855 15180 160 74 20 3 2 0
OW 748 1763 228 237 106 22 13 0
VODI 1796 602 256 563 312 92 26 0
ODI 1810 212 80 364 613 363 51 0
CDI 0 165 88 354 708 1943 1062 1
VCDI 0 244 93 468 1081 5642 26280 60130
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56868 15223 171 88 19 2 2 0
OW 734 1732 222 244 111 26 13 0
VODI 1798 597 253 526 303 97 24 0
ODI 1809 225 78 370 617 360 57 0
CDI 0 159 88 363 702 1885 991 2
VCDI 0 230 93 469 1088 5695 26347 60129

Date: 2024-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55739 15574 279 301 26 0 0 0
OW 698 1605 283 390 99 19 2 0
VODI 1787 588 249 611 306 115 24 0
ODI 1821 182 105 391 610 411 79 0
CDI 0 152 85 427 650 1542 615 5
VCDI 0 300 75 418 1057 5984 26591 60615
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55740 15657 288 302 27 2 0 0
OW 697 1544 294 426 111 25 4 0
VODI 1788 570 216 568 312 117 25 0
ODI 1820 199 111 380 582 396 73 0
CDI 0 166 96 424 629 1529 633 8
VCDI 0 265 71 438 1087 6002 26576 60612

Date: 2024-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55997 15646 242 278 13 0 0 0
OW 764 1796 346 326 77 5 2 0
VODI 1789 379 288 968 480 80 23 0
ODI 1818 84 52 351 644 447 67 0
CDI 0 105 57 318 760 1613 624 0
VCDI 0 41 36 233 654 5074 25822 62511
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56054 15262 235 325 40 1 0 0
OW 702 1475 238 375 118 22 4 0
VODI 1777 696 240 552 358 124 47 0
ODI 1835 257 105 367 486 317 90 0
CDI 0 152 114 436 631 1271 792 9
VCDI 0 209 89 419 995 5484 25605 62502

Date: 2024-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56564 15393 156 102 15 1 0 0
OW 735 1738 236 316 73 19 3 0
VODI 1783 619 330 758 346 127 39 0
ODI 1827 177 84 375 443 325 46 0
CDI 0 103 63 382 867 1370 519 3
VCDI 0 132 65 249 647 5537 29922 58321
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56595 15068 145 131 30 5 0 0
OW 702 1437 201 283 86 26 9 0
VODI 1776 844 212 497 277 142 46 0
ODI 1836 378 163 312 366 315 59 0
CDI 0 215 134 532 723 1193 398 0
VCDI 0 220 79 427 909 5698 30017 58324

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57770 14254 124 92 20 0 0 0
OW 731 1790 200 260 109 37 3 0
VODI 1782 904 214 436 227 114 15 0
ODI 1828 347 142 354 411 169 42 0
CDI 0 227 111 542 767 1216 778 2
VCDI 0 482 125 392 785 4815 31233 56960
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57759 13734 178 199 63 13 2 0
OW 733 1483 152 240 93 44 7 0
VODI 1784 987 162 328 229 126 24 0
ODI 1835 533 126 267 282 175 64 0
CDI 0 490 108 328 617 983 518 50
VCDI 0 777 190 714 1035 5010 31456 56912


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