Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-03-21

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 29818 1203 34 38 0
c1 213 1910 265 128 0
c2 0 1315 1100 456 0
c3 0 718 2441 2191 0
c4 0 304 1280 3602 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 40827 1066 37 24 0
c1 251 2516 313 77 0
c2 0 1308 1939 451 0
c3 0 372 2063 2387 0
c4 0 90 657 2314 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 35721 1196 48 8 0
c1 309 2466 482 134 0
c2 7 1565 1985 739 0
c3 0 483 1953 2054 0
c4 0 146 826 2425 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39480 1220 68 12 0
c1 355 2066 434 90 0
c2 7 1512 1647 934 0
c3 1 471 2022 2358 0
c4 0 222 1409 2778 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39478 1240 64 14 0
c1 357 2029 444 92 0
c2 7 1536 1613 918 0
c3 1 456 2039 2384 0
c4 0 230 1420 2764 0

Date: 2024-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 32061 983 54 7 0
c1 443 1828 316 169 0
c2 25 1400 1569 944 0
c3 0 594 1905 2630 0
c4 0 259 1181 4140 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 32065 1021 50 6 0
c1 445 1764 325 180 0
c2 19 1425 1553 943 0
c3 0 567 1914 2623 0
c4 0 287 1183 4138 0

Date: 2024-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 38347 1335 37 5 0
c1 371 1602 264 163 0
c2 12 1724 1219 520 0
c3 0 581 2196 2274 0
c4 0 334 1197 3325 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 38302 1275 53 8 0
c1 418 1676 271 188 0
c2 10 1668 1231 513 0
c3 0 626 2163 2278 0
c4 0 331 1195 3300 0

Date: 2024-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2024-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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