Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-03-14

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 31651 1229 64 15 0
c1 235 2184 366 75 0
c2 14 1725 1455 764 0
c3 0 663 1722 2302 0
c4 0 389 958 2013 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 30193 924 36 26 0
c1 211 2277 187 31 0
c2 3 1219 1354 730 0
c3 0 620 1917 2722 0
c4 0 208 948 2326 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 37367 1097 49 33 0
c1 230 1846 255 48 0
c2 0 1093 1214 680 0
c3 0 611 1825 2373 0
c4 0 234 1114 2357 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 36120 1209 31 38 0
c1 195 2013 234 166 0
c2 0 1364 1105 557 0
c3 0 665 2317 1727 0
c4 0 101 809 1620 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 36109 1316 31 38 0
c1 206 1879 243 168 0
c2 0 1384 1109 554 0
c3 0 660 2291 1703 0
c4 0 113 822 1645 0

Date: 2024-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 38848 1373 40 43 0
c1 176 1944 469 124 0
c2 0 1447 1413 509 0
c3 0 852 2283 2099 0
c4 0 334 1170 3145 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 38862 1452 61 46 0
c1 162 1832 454 136 0
c2 0 1470 1410 501 0
c3 0 854 2269 2060 0
c4 0 342 1181 3177 0

Date: 2024-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 31090 999 38 25 0
c1 170 2208 338 53 0
c2 1 1220 1840 536 0
c3 0 448 2089 2345 0
c4 0 189 999 2827 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 31044 1232 86 33 0
c1 216 1505 457 87 0
c2 1 1315 1081 421 0
c3 0 653 2339 1941 0
c4 0 359 1341 3304 0

Date: 2024-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 32974 1069 64 5 0
c1 306 1998 427 112 0
c2 3 1344 1637 736 0
c3 0 603 2422 2742 0
c4 0 262 1198 3226 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 32783 1221 172 12 0
c1 429 1223 359 148 0
c2 71 1449 1066 448 0
c3 0 927 2543 2442 0
c4 0 456 1608 3771 0

Date: 2024-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 37642 1064 63 13 0
c1 475 1737 347 150 0
c2 34 1097 1318 789 0
c3 0 410 1710 2306 0
c4 0 216 998 3234 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 37267 1054 126 49 0
c1 717 1198 242 172 0
c2 132 1188 886 616 0
c3 35 642 1856 1946 0
c4 0 442 1326 3709 0


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