Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-01-18

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 42118 1054 36 74 0
c1 402 3424 438 104 0
c2 24 2297 2508 1072 0
c3 4 473 1390 2896 0
c4 0 122 468 1136 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 44430 1047 27 73 0
c1 313 3958 313 79 0
c2 9 2823 2704 1117 0
c3 2 409 1653 3018 0
c4 0 79 422 1210 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 36147 1136 28 79 0
c1 576 3742 634 119 0
c2 33 2461 2610 1623 0
c3 10 549 1649 3218 0
c4 0 131 427 1412 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39565 722 29 53 0
c1 552 2379 577 161 0
c2 61 2358 1857 1207 0
c3 23 584 1472 2472 0
c4 0 196 467 1074 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39567 745 28 53 0
c1 550 2368 597 166 0
c2 61 2330 1854 1215 0
c3 23 588 1456 2466 0
c4 0 208 467 1067 0

Date: 2024-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 42557 928 28 71 0
c1 488 2339 431 161 0
c2 57 1595 2153 1075 0
c3 28 354 1461 2396 0
c4 0 176 389 1190 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 42507 969 29 72 0
c1 508 2293 431 173 0
c2 70 1594 2176 1065 0
c3 45 346 1440 2388 0
c4 0 190 386 1195 0

Date: 2024-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 40309 1162 43 28 0
c1 345 3161 518 96 0
c2 35 1138 2825 1453 0
c3 28 334 1094 2014 0
c4 13 157 158 791 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 40181 1280 54 36 0
c1 394 2514 440 140 0
c2 54 1526 2510 1175 0
c3 60 352 1458 2204 0
c4 41 280 176 827 0

Date: 2024-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 36707 949 37 30 0
c1 545 2948 527 77 0
c2 63 1408 2426 1457 0
c3 52 555 1001 2369 0
c4 7 335 427 1680 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 36399 1030 41 40 0
c1 676 2442 388 120 0
c2 116 1625 2118 1122 0
c3 137 622 1435 2628 0
c4 46 476 436 1703 0

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39255 891 43 57 0
c1 551 2628 377 147 0
c2 111 1437 2293 1421 0
c3 113 477 1051 2205 0
c4 23 321 516 1444 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 38870 912 41 68 0
c1 674 2315 285 134 0
c2 162 1631 2053 1064 0
c3 244 419 1352 2585 0
c4 103 477 549 1423 0


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