Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-01-11

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 46144 1323 57 59 0
c1 701 5043 1360 355 0
c2 25 1794 3735 1986 0
c3 2 281 911 2457 0
c4 1 157 380 783 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 44027 1367 28 4 0
c1 204 4322 911 84 0
c2 4 1543 2608 1707 0
c3 2 408 944 1861 0
c4 0 61 342 691 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 42235 1214 0 0 0
c1 253 3877 923 88 0
c2 11 1623 2738 1537 0
c3 1 427 1082 2049 0
c4 0 68 293 1486 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 39534 961 37 41 0
c1 270 3873 590 69 0
c2 21 1959 3074 1436 0
c3 8 379 994 2663 0
c4 0 66 312 1402 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 39547 957 35 41 0
c1 254 3871 547 71 0
c2 22 1957 3148 1447 0
c3 10 381 974 2642 0
c4 0 72 303 1410 0

Date: 2024-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 44224 1000 25 73 0
c1 530 3395 403 98 0
c2 43 2390 2544 1412 0
c3 5 447 1623 3070 0
c4 0 187 344 1172 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 44197 989 24 71 0
c1 555 3440 402 95 0
c2 45 2390 2568 1409 0
c3 5 411 1604 3073 0
c4 0 189 341 1177 0

Date: 2024-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 39466 905 29 75 0
c1 357 3418 343 77 0
c2 20 2246 1793 776 0
c3 1 417 1215 2257 0
c4 0 171 383 909 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 39187 869 31 77 0
c1 607 3364 440 119 0
c2 40 2179 1876 916 0
c3 10 447 998 2222 0
c4 0 298 418 760 0

Date: 2024-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 45216 922 26 89 0
c1 690 3290 458 125 0
c2 41 2595 2088 1039 0
c3 16 712 1887 2865 0
c4 0 220 487 1387 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 44861 920 34 98 0
c1 936 3201 597 204 0
c2 88 2543 2092 1148 0
c3 73 719 1733 2752 0
c4 5 356 490 1303 0

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 39077 719 21 69 0
c1 521 2178 392 206 0
c2 53 2098 2236 1076 0
c3 14 423 1701 3096 0
c4 0 142 345 1291 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 38603 597 28 69 0
c1 875 2522 647 265 0
c2 82 1784 2149 1264 0
c3 96 401 1470 2818 0
c4 9 256 401 1322 0


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