Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-12-21

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50697 1998 49 105 0
c1 1012 7123 1492 428 0
c2 47 1130 1918 1992 0
c3 26 368 817 1884 0
c4 3 147 308 833 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49115 1287 75 120 0
c1 814 6304 1500 391 0
c2 24 1292 2387 2494 0
c3 37 316 656 1725 0
c4 15 216 319 1816 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47224 1451 109 54 0
c1 894 7514 1792 507 0
c2 40 1366 2767 2182 0
c3 38 229 747 1168 0
c4 17 204 301 722 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46756 1616 95 88 0
c1 870 7122 1557 604 0
c2 49 1285 2596 2325 0
c3 39 207 560 1327 0
c4 3 182 265 514 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46741 1642 97 89 0
c1 885 7118 1571 625 0
c2 49 1262 2594 2328 0
c3 39 204 546 1292 0
c4 3 186 265 524 0

Date: 2023-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50255 1492 121 50 0
c1 755 6095 1695 611 0
c2 50 1178 2789 2218 0
c3 30 247 703 1715 0
c4 2 143 229 629 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50278 1493 120 49 0
c1 728 6121 1727 615 0
c2 53 1145 2770 2226 0
c3 31 250 694 1694 0
c4 2 146 226 639 0

Date: 2023-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49330 1048 105 41 0
c1 710 4976 931 283 0
c2 41 1452 2350 1780 0
c3 38 383 801 2056 0
c4 1 122 377 920 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49015 1061 114 50 0
c1 976 4898 997 456 0
c2 57 1595 2458 1795 0
c3 60 248 607 1977 0
c4 12 179 388 802 0

Date: 2023-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 43750 1227 71 79 0
c1 1043 5433 1073 280 0
c2 61 1591 2735 2252 0
c3 41 365 1047 2337 0
c4 4 144 433 810 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 43253 1229 76 98 0
c1 1465 5137 1306 528 0
c2 79 1863 2735 2095 0
c3 72 362 882 2187 0
c4 30 169 360 850 0

Date: 2023-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46095 1170 86 51 0
c1 1338 5606 1032 295 0
c2 81 2001 2910 2590 0
c3 70 421 1150 2632 0
c4 7 212 619 996 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 45590 1087 91 57 0
c1 1753 5275 1307 575 0
c2 98 2358 2767 2511 0
c3 129 462 947 2401 0
c4 21 228 685 1020 0


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