Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-11-30

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53692 1580 39 4 0
c1 828 6547 853 158 0
c2 45 773 2604 1181 0
c3 30 327 576 2095 0
c4 1 193 282 1389 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54165 1907 29 7 0
c1 530 6249 856 93 0
c2 43 1440 1995 1038 0
c3 19 426 984 2315 0
c4 2 250 578 664 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54601 1850 34 25 0
c1 795 6537 672 202 0
c2 29 2136 2728 1794 0
c3 11 469 1223 4526 0
c4 2 230 453 1100 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58861 2258 75 19 0
c1 1070 7547 617 90 0
c2 18 2148 2894 1581 0
c3 16 361 1020 3161 0
c4 0 118 287 768 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58724 2242 77 19 0
c1 1207 7639 633 92 0
c2 18 2072 2879 1581 0
c3 16 358 1006 3153 0
c4 0 121 298 774 0

Date: 2023-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55352 2313 47 14 0
c1 1154 7061 578 182 0
c2 32 2200 2355 823 0
c3 11 512 1051 2883 0
c4 0 99 452 818 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55203 2162 49 17 0
c1 1300 7221 586 196 0
c2 34 2202 2329 798 0
c3 12 501 1063 2893 0
c4 0 99 456 816 0

Date: 2023-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53425 2111 41 9 0
c1 625 6880 960 205 0
c2 14 1129 2416 1504 0
c3 7 529 1269 3406 0
c4 0 216 592 990 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51935 1838 51 9 0
c1 2073 6285 655 567 0
c2 51 2033 2567 1028 0
c3 12 560 1392 3578 0
c4 0 149 613 932 0

Date: 2023-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48160 1756 85 19 0
c1 1094 6507 1314 164 0
c2 21 1269 2634 1411 0
c3 6 399 1228 3485 0
c4 0 176 705 963 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46598 1631 100 24 0
c1 2559 5759 946 239 0
c2 120 2060 3059 1167 0
c3 4 497 1172 3645 0
c4 0 160 689 967 0

Date: 2023-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56140 2444 123 37 0
c1 1839 7492 1309 169 0
c2 16 1601 3364 1677 0
c3 2 312 1019 3120 0
c4 0 162 553 1488 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54976 2252 144 41 0
c1 2918 6771 926 223 0
c2 90 2338 3734 1445 0
c3 13 476 1037 3214 0
c4 0 174 527 1568 0


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