Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-10-19

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74588 3070 0 0 0
c1 792 7939 1413 433 0
c2 17 1069 1181 1019 0
c3 23 388 499 351 0
c4 20 338 474 661 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68816 3779 8 0 0
c1 1416 8821 1076 517 0
c2 22 905 1423 1030 0
c3 11 315 448 265 0
c4 0 236 699 687 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63797 4162 0 0 0
c1 1611 9535 1982 366 0
c2 51 1135 1304 1148 0
c3 25 733 671 420 0
c4 0 389 877 932 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63798 4181 0 0 0
c1 1607 9558 1951 354 0
c2 50 1098 1345 1151 0
c3 29 710 658 425 0
c4 0 407 880 936 0

Date: 2023-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62833 3301 16 4 0
c1 1439 8419 1857 525 0
c2 22 952 1121 900 0
c3 9 574 501 340 0
c4 0 484 765 773 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62770 3282 18 4 0
c1 1501 8467 1813 516 0
c2 22 921 1166 912 0
c3 10 562 482 343 0
c4 0 498 781 767 0

Date: 2023-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59526 2680 6 0 0
c1 503 9436 1263 219 0
c2 13 800 1332 728 0
c3 8 465 436 403 0
c4 2 371 923 852 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58947 2784 9 3 0
c1 1069 9280 1263 234 0
c2 24 828 1316 697 0
c3 9 451 433 416 0
c4 3 409 939 852 0

Date: 2023-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61711 2742 36 22 0
c1 495 13333 1033 235 0
c2 6 1276 1849 994 0
c3 5 432 533 608 0
c4 1 333 1002 1221 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61355 3143 41 23 0
c1 838 13016 1081 221 0
c2 18 1148 1736 1022 0
c3 7 425 555 618 0
c4 0 384 1040 1196 0

Date: 2023-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61964 2861 58 6 0
c1 369 12366 2258 276 0
c2 20 1272 2124 903 0
c3 7 478 531 604 0
c4 3 276 952 1648 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61399 2927 66 7 0
c1 888 12334 2488 283 0
c2 41 1158 1835 912 0
c3 31 482 525 614 0
c4 4 352 1009 1621 0


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