Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-12-31

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56302 1531 12 37 0
c1 1033 6491 1121 134 0
c2 96 1947 3945 2745 0
c3 33 438 1539 4336 0
c4 0 274 584 1146 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55597 1455 15 24 0
c1 712 6481 688 162 0
c2 59 1967 3524 1750 0
c3 84 402 1874 4847 0
c4 48 295 391 2627 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56514 1432 12 34 0
c1 971 6610 652 117 0
c2 66 2092 3507 1309 0
c3 79 271 1672 4365 0
c4 23 240 393 1425 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56151 1689 40 1 0
c1 1245 6454 594 58 0
c2 95 2283 2794 1074 0
c3 77 296 1887 3977 0
c4 12 228 425 1692 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56159 1683 40 1 0
c1 1247 6450 587 56 0
c2 88 2294 2806 1081 0
c3 73 297 1877 3992 0
c4 13 226 430 1672 0

Date: 2021-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56441 1659 24 10 0
c1 1393 6130 634 79 0
c2 119 2286 2852 1165 0
c3 94 410 1516 4055 0
c4 25 276 836 1531 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56425 1674 23 10 0
c1 1413 6087 636 79 0
c2 109 2321 2845 1189 0
c3 96 397 1515 4034 0
c4 29 282 843 1528 0

Date: 2021-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57146 1855 21 0 0
c1 1130 6189 558 50 0
c2 114 2295 2984 1401 0
c3 2 500 1589 4558 0
c4 2 278 610 1727 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56376 1887 27 0 0
c1 1893 5384 616 79 0
c2 117 2824 2654 1292 0
c3 6 674 1778 4479 0
c4 2 348 687 1886 0

Date: 2021-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56222 2130 8 0 0
c1 1197 5918 621 67 0
c2 45 1568 3550 1530 0
c3 5 233 1678 4236 0
c4 2 119 443 1634 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56023 1821 14 0 0
c1 1378 5589 618 55 0
c2 57 2013 3164 1368 0
c3 9 363 1932 4187 0
c4 4 182 572 1857 0

Date: 2021-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55655 1860 14 0 0
c1 1124 6033 492 72 0
c2 59 1970 2903 1465 0
c3 16 300 1396 3430 0
c4 20 206 615 1221 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55131 2000 25 0 0
c1 1619 5119 522 93 0
c2 97 2333 2639 1379 0
c3 21 703 1546 3225 0
c4 6 214 688 1491 0


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