Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-02-21

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53172 1725 10 0 0
c1 380 5255 1954 721 0
c2 0 793 3367 3182 0
c3 0 64 985 2730 0
c4 0 9 155 938 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49062 1439 3 0 0
c1 412 6280 2180 703 0
c2 0 395 3026 3116 0
c3 0 4 828 2041 0
c4 0 0 85 1259 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52436 1848 10 2 0
c1 392 5056 1982 617 0
c2 0 580 3236 2817 0
c3 0 46 1181 2342 0
c4 0 0 173 1683 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53285 1663 17 7 0
c1 435 5320 1537 630 0
c2 0 1216 3376 2272 0
c3 0 102 1211 2384 0
c4 0 10 160 1200 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53314 1689 22 6 0
c1 406 5272 1517 632 0
c2 0 1238 3385 2278 0
c3 0 99 1221 2397 0
c4 0 13 156 1180 0

Date: 2019-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39752 1572 27 0 0
c1 509 5328 1661 744 0
c2 0 1213 3611 2669 0
c3 0 48 1079 2654 0
c4 0 11 205 1322 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39785 1620 29 6 0
c1 476 5286 1675 756 0
c2 0 1203 3613 2639 0
c3 0 50 1060 2689 0
c4 0 13 206 1299 0

Date: 2019-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51357 1551 18 13 0
c1 455 5902 2015 888 0
c2 0 810 3815 3218 0
c3 0 76 1007 3196 0
c4 0 11 217 2069 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51221 1715 36 26 0
c1 591 5072 1565 828 0
c2 0 1435 3844 2967 0
c3 0 97 1374 3427 0
c4 0 31 253 2136 0

Date: 2019-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52862 1596 34 2 0
c1 556 5301 1648 866 0
c2 6 1064 3685 3008 0
c3 0 148 1163 2980 0
c4 0 13 296 1949 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52654 1746 48 13 0
c1 763 4465 1338 814 0
c2 7 1630 3672 2792 0
c3 0 244 1423 3179 0
c4 0 37 345 2007 0

Date: 2019-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52458 1705 56 7 0
c1 680 5000 1624 829 0
c2 0 1319 3483 2715 0
c3 0 206 1401 3069 0
c4 0 57 294 3585 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52423 1919 66 9 0
c1 713 4060 1334 750 0
c2 2 1926 3386 2539 0
c3 0 304 1758 3276 0
c4 0 78 314 3631 0


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