Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-02-07

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54348 1139 11 12 0
c1 939 4931 1183 336 0
c2 7 1316 3706 2556 0
c3 0 90 1087 2928 0
c4 0 2 47 1115 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54754 1465 9 8 0
c1 1023 6230 1644 450 0
c2 0 660 3380 2841 0
c3 0 35 740 2725 0
c4 0 0 38 1220 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53728 1408 15 14 0
c1 966 6590 1513 532 0
c2 0 921 3669 2467 0
c3 0 46 950 2919 0
c4 0 1 48 1039 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52652 1409 17 26 0
c1 811 6679 1451 594 0
c2 0 928 3895 2477 1
c3 0 96 965 2738 0
c4 0 6 96 1069 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52678 1402 18 27 0
c1 785 6664 1484 589 0
c2 0 952 3855 2487 1
c3 0 94 973 2744 0
c4 0 6 94 1057 0

Date: 2019-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53952 1223 25 6 0
c1 734 6246 1338 536 0
c2 0 997 3703 2545 0
c3 0 63 1265 2748 0
c4 0 43 159 1510 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53971 1212 22 6 0
c1 715 6270 1321 552 0
c2 0 977 3695 2548 0
c3 0 71 1293 2764 0
c4 0 42 159 1475 0

Date: 2019-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52767 1729 12 4 0
c1 466 6174 1891 624 0
c2 0 553 3369 2558 0
c3 0 85 1105 2489 0
c4 0 3 156 1054 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52589 1714 18 6 0
c1 644 5454 1191 426 0
c2 0 1205 3675 2375 0
c3 0 168 1456 2807 0
c4 0 3 193 1115 0

Date: 2019-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50371 1651 12 0 0
c1 377 5785 2157 742 0
c2 0 625 3416 2808 0
c3 0 67 982 3005 0
c4 0 0 117 878 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50260 1730 20 3 0
c1 488 5176 1442 557 0
c2 0 1107 3717 2519 0
c3 0 115 1309 3384 0
c4 0 0 196 970 0

Date: 2019-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53172 1725 10 0 0
c1 380 5255 1954 721 0
c2 0 793 3367 3182 0
c3 0 64 985 2730 0
c4 0 9 155 938 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53174 2152 21 0 0
c1 376 4382 1561 556 0
c2 2 1200 3232 2856 0
c3 0 102 1425 3088 0
c4 0 10 232 1071 0


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