Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-12-20

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59379 1371 24 101 0
c1 724 8742 2908 1226 0
c2 0 868 3979 3647 0
c3 0 53 374 1680 0
c4 0 0 35 72 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60470 1724 35 80 0
c1 473 9223 3476 1676 0
c2 0 393 3557 3335 0
c3 0 12 191 1331 0
c4 0 0 10 45 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59124 1381 42 68 0
c1 622 7808 3338 1820 0
c2 0 346 3562 3481 0
c3 0 8 215 1381 0
c4 0 0 12 95 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57003 1472 33 74 0
c1 742 6971 2756 1755 0
c2 0 399 3324 3739 0
c3 0 13 271 1762 0
c4 0 1 34 144 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57042 1518 34 74 0
c1 703 6900 2753 1773 0
c2 0 425 3338 3750 0
c3 0 12 257 1739 0
c4 0 1 36 138 0

Date: 2018-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59294 1516 45 64 0
c1 1079 5555 2369 1167 0
c2 0 714 3889 4285 0
c3 0 13 312 2452 0
c4 0 0 16 105 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59319 1544 45 64 0
c1 1054 5520 2311 1120 0
c2 0 725 3963 4377 0
c3 0 9 297 2415 0
c4 0 0 15 97 0

Date: 2018-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59451 1659 22 12 0
c1 520 5886 2693 1393 0
c2 0 854 3857 3965 0
c3 0 9 311 1934 0
c4 0 0 13 110 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58925 1584 24 12 0
c1 1046 5909 2613 1341 0
c2 0 906 3940 4065 0
c3 0 9 308 1904 0
c4 0 0 11 92 0

Date: 2018-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59184 1565 14 52 0
c1 1043 5565 2089 1341 0
c2 0 1032 3642 3887 0
c3 0 37 435 2153 0
c4 0 0 24 84 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58620 1542 17 56 0
c1 1607 5494 2059 1317 0
c2 0 1127 3697 3962 0
c3 0 36 411 2111 0
c4 0 0 20 71 0

Date: 2018-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55726 1655 30 52 0
c1 820 4886 2132 1098 0
c2 0 1040 3991 3566 0
c3 0 72 644 2359 0
c4 0 0 40 102 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55042 1541 32 53 0
c1 1504 4768 2049 1115 0
c2 0 1270 4109 3656 0
c3 0 74 607 2273 0
c4 0 0 40 80 0


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