Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-11-29

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64950 2664 15 0 0
c1 1004 10067 4460 1277 0
c2 0 363 3757 4196 0
c3 0 0 65 191 0
c4 0 0 27 33 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64985 2415 13 6 0
c1 714 8971 5065 1491 0
c2 0 396 3674 4102 0
c3 0 1 80 296 0
c4 0 0 18 36 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63127 2095 22 3 0
c1 961 8755 4454 1446 0
c2 0 636 4019 4381 0
c3 0 1 167 558 0
c4 0 0 17 40 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60596 1991 42 10 0
c1 992 8727 4048 1140 0
c2 0 1026 4463 4106 0
c3 0 1 145 674 0
c4 0 0 15 48 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60493 2042 44 10 0
c1 1095 8693 4075 1166 0
c2 0 1009 4447 4076 0
c3 0 1 132 677 0
c4 0 0 15 49 0

Date: 2018-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62118 1992 56 37 0
c1 1488 8392 3310 977 0
c2 0 1248 4574 4498 0
c3 0 14 203 697 0
c4 0 0 14 109 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62097 2062 62 36 0
c1 1509 8336 3320 1004 0
c2 0 1236 4572 4466 0
c3 0 12 188 707 0
c4 0 0 15 105 0

Date: 2018-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63143 2213 39 22 0
c1 1330 9412 4028 863 0
c2 0 995 4611 4442 0
c3 0 17 153 649 0
c4 0 0 18 117 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62343 2162 55 31 0
c1 2130 9024 3493 775 0
c2 0 1433 5059 4423 0
c3 0 18 224 750 0
c4 0 0 18 114 0

Date: 2018-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61309 2287 56 19 0
c1 1725 8112 3489 1714 0
c2 0 1346 4453 4448 0
c3 0 27 156 796 0
c4 0 1 3 59 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60749 2382 66 28 0
c1 2285 7470 2897 1623 0
c2 0 1883 4954 4428 0
c3 0 37 236 894 0
c4 0 1 4 63 0

Date: 2018-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59816 2108 64 40 0
c1 1637 8084 3465 1567 0
c2 5 1179 4050 4859 0
c3 0 17 216 1119 0
c4 0 1 5 83 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59352 2239 76 47 0
c1 2102 7692 2793 1298 0
c2 4 1434 4667 4749 0
c3 0 23 256 1504 0
c4 0 1 8 70 0


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