Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-11-15

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70964 2261 7 4 0
c1 905 12482 6325 2851 0
c2 0 230 2105 2664 0
c3 0 0 65 131 0
c4 0 0 8 23 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69238 2692 9 16 0
c1 555 10700 6823 2416 0
c2 0 418 1465 2426 0
c3 0 3 62 107 0
c4 0 0 7 14 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69193 2247 12 15 0
c1 673 9818 6234 2623 0
c2 0 295 1836 2748 0
c3 0 0 59 105 0
c4 0 0 7 11 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69910 2454 34 16 0
c1 736 9142 5803 2499 0
c2 0 239 2342 3587 0
c3 0 0 25 97 0
c4 0 0 5 2 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69897 2369 33 16 0
c1 749 9215 5853 2529 0
c2 0 251 2299 3560 0
c3 0 0 20 94 0
c4 0 0 4 2 0

Date: 2018-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67094 2883 21 1 0
c1 754 9270 5390 1926 0
c2 0 408 2831 3778 0
c3 0 1 48 128 0
c4 0 0 5 16 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67075 2781 20 1 0
c1 773 9380 5431 1972 0
c2 0 400 2797 3738 0
c3 0 1 42 123 0
c4 0 0 5 15 0

Date: 2018-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65921 3152 12 6 0
c1 577 9587 5055 1813 0
c2 0 299 2922 4084 0
c3 0 0 35 90 0
c4 0 0 4 37 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65687 3298 14 6 0
c1 811 8931 4652 1807 0
c2 0 806 3315 4082 0
c3 0 3 43 101 0
c4 0 0 4 34 0

Date: 2018-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63725 2810 7 0 0
c1 739 10744 4431 1351 0
c2 0 448 3072 4207 0
c3 0 9 41 130 0
c4 0 0 41 27 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63622 3309 30 0 0
c1 842 9469 3442 1299 0
c2 0 1222 4020 4234 0
c3 0 11 61 156 0
c4 0 0 39 26 0

Date: 2018-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64950 2664 15 0 0
c1 1004 10067 4460 1277 0
c2 0 363 3757 4196 0
c3 0 0 65 191 0
c4 0 0 27 33 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64618 2941 16 0 0
c1 1333 8840 3174 1089 0
c2 3 1278 4974 4299 0
c3 0 35 133 277 0
c4 0 0 27 32 0


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