Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-03-15

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50773 1701 39 26 0
c1 246 5230 3057 1136 0
c2 0 525 1827 2294 1
c3 0 213 1198 2211 0
c4 0 78 408 1370 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53011 1823 19 7 0
c1 435 6190 2960 1043 0
c2 0 480 2868 2275 0
c3 0 59 990 2191 0
c4 0 1 192 616 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52454 2083 16 13 0
c1 381 5852 2707 943 0
c2 0 658 2993 2251 0
c3 0 101 965 2726 0
c4 0 9 217 582 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49371 1672 21 17 0
c1 391 5353 1986 712 0
c2 0 794 3139 2612 0
c3 0 260 997 3191 0
c4 0 62 346 968 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49380 1686 25 20 0
c1 382 5333 2044 722 0
c2 0 798 3062 2596 0
c3 0 268 1020 3188 0
c4 0 56 338 974 0

Date: 2018-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53126 1437 21 4 0
c1 647 5576 1470 517 0
c2 5 1326 2707 2347 0
c3 0 168 1403 3123 0
c4 0 1 275 1121 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53124 1468 41 18 0
c1 649 5531 1476 517 0
c2 5 1342 2678 2320 0
c3 0 166 1430 3153 0
c4 0 1 251 1104 0

Date: 2018-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53584 1717 18 1 0
c1 559 5496 2426 755 0
c2 0 750 3252 2583 0
c3 0 150 1485 3009 0
c4 0 9 160 705 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53360 1752 44 4 0
c1 783 4989 1706 438 0
c2 0 1039 3267 2323 0
c3 0 282 1972 3340 0
c4 0 60 352 948 0

Date: 2018-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53044 1838 46 21 0
c1 467 5208 2251 770 0
c2 0 884 3847 2382 0
c3 0 138 1621 3266 0
c4 0 27 279 1007 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52826 1906 69 27 0
c1 685 4531 1524 523 0
c2 0 1299 3742 2089 0
c3 0 276 2209 3455 0
c4 0 83 500 1352 0

Date: 2018-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52856 1805 68 25 0
c1 555 4784 2100 802 0
c2 0 945 3345 2638 0
c3 0 207 1692 3404 0
c4 0 57 225 988 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52538 1862 90 31 0
c1 865 4054 1290 552 0
c2 8 1404 3271 2323 0
c3 0 349 2280 3494 0
c4 0 129 499 1457 0


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