Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-12-28

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59270 1526 70 49 0
c1 1339 7411 2550 766 0
c2 1 1176 4400 4197 0
c3 0 67 1144 2337 0
c4 0 8 69 246 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59730 1806 103 29 0
c1 370 6617 3743 1745 0
c2 0 558 3803 4059 0
c3 0 12 907 2575 0
c4 0 13 142 340 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58901 1821 106 24 0
c1 444 6135 3008 1680 0
c2 0 514 3710 4128 0
c3 0 50 1022 3783 0
c4 0 38 244 498 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57236 1745 108 25 0
c1 591 5962 2749 1221 0
c2 0 620 4027 4049 0
c3 0 96 1022 3095 0
c4 0 12 220 477 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57240 1793 111 23 0
c1 587 5916 2720 1204 0
c2 0 612 4035 4070 0
c3 0 101 1015 3068 0
c4 0 13 245 502 0

Date: 2017-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56751 1933 114 28 0
c1 638 5421 2569 959 0
c2 0 835 4004 3603 0
c3 0 93 910 2661 0
c4 0 9 184 453 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56760 1979 111 25 0
c1 629 5379 2543 937 0
c2 0 837 4013 3612 0
c3 0 87 915 2639 0
c4 0 9 199 491 0

Date: 2018-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57537 2029 47 20 0
c1 415 5866 3000 1173 0
c2 0 594 4074 4002 0
c3 0 15 538 1839 0
c4 0 11 95 421 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57187 1945 61 24 0
c1 765 5532 2475 987 0
c2 0 961 4252 3982 0
c3 0 65 823 1986 0
c4 0 12 143 476 0

Date: 2018-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54753 1824 38 24 0
c1 501 5556 2802 1177 0
c2 0 868 4467 4430 0
c3 0 29 632 1721 0
c4 0 2 137 330 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54412 1890 61 34 0
c1 840 4908 2140 889 0
c2 2 1395 4851 4499 0
c3 0 84 845 1904 0
c4 0 2 179 356 0

Date: 2018-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54487 1652 33 17 0
c1 566 4457 2203 935 0
c2 0 831 4467 4149 0
c3 0 27 646 2011 0
c4 0 2 93 404 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54257 1765 47 26 0
c1 768 3793 1734 674 0
c2 26 1319 4610 4246 0
c3 2 90 929 2109 0
c4 0 2 122 461 0


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