Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-12-07

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63958 3039 17 0 0
c1 1309 10424 2658 892 0
c2 0 1176 4191 3164 0
c3 0 60 482 1426 0
c4 0 11 130 284 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63127 3118 18 1 0
c1 562 10384 3359 1100 0
c2 0 549 4044 3414 0
c3 0 13 304 1570 0
c4 0 0 44 194 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61345 2535 45 7 0
c1 879 9425 3544 1312 0
c2 0 584 3336 3352 0
c3 0 15 244 1782 0
c4 0 3 54 245 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60685 2675 73 5 0
c1 1174 8790 3808 1136 0
c2 0 521 3100 3577 0
c3 0 16 253 1711 0
c4 0 5 50 255 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60653 2803 73 5 0
c1 1206 8669 3851 1135 0
c2 0 514 3056 3540 0
c3 0 16 256 1745 0
c4 0 5 48 259 0

Date: 2017-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60735 2753 86 11 0
c1 1034 8244 3987 1226 0
c2 0 904 3175 3317 0
c3 0 51 401 1480 0
c4 0 24 122 353 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60682 2929 87 14 0
c1 1087 8096 4017 1268 0
c2 0 874 3129 3267 0
c3 0 51 423 1491 0
c4 0 26 115 347 0

Date: 2017-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60279 2878 49 3 0
c1 459 8929 4998 1687 0
c2 0 667 2983 3281 0
c3 0 85 253 1514 0
c4 0 70 149 329 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59600 2876 56 4 0
c1 1138 8659 4623 1520 0
c2 0 886 3227 3318 0
c3 0 80 363 1629 0
c4 0 128 163 343 0

Date: 2017-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58755 2499 91 20 0
c1 888 9373 4602 1654 0
c2 0 890 3299 3815 0
c3 0 93 384 1585 0
c4 0 56 126 292 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58318 2391 99 21 0
c1 1322 9106 4083 1418 0
c2 3 1205 3658 3866 0
c3 0 104 514 1763 0
c4 0 105 148 298 0

Date: 2017-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59447 2087 88 8 0
c1 709 8932 4433 1863 0
c2 0 1118 3455 3262 0
c3 0 54 447 1750 0
c4 0 3 62 352 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58985 2013 66 7 0
c1 1171 8586 3917 1465 0
c2 0 1503 3845 3487 0
c3 0 83 563 1918 0
c4 0 9 94 358 0


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