Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-11-30

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65398 2827 61 10 0
c1 998 10306 3253 951 0
c2 0 984 2866 3420 0
c3 0 53 268 809 0
c4 0 15 149 275 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66200 2740 57 8 0
c1 622 10762 2882 801 0
c2 0 851 3483 3496 0
c3 0 5 265 1267 0
c4 0 0 67 265 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65793 2738 20 2 0
c1 1084 10042 3100 720 0
c2 0 876 4033 3518 0
c3 0 9 372 1282 0
c4 0 0 80 276 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61463 3001 11 1 0
c1 1218 9719 3077 1063 0
c2 0 1128 3759 3529 0
c3 0 66 478 1278 0
c4 0 41 144 356 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61388 2900 13 1 0
c1 1293 9860 3084 1066 0
c2 0 1089 3759 3463 0
c3 0 67 480 1340 0
c4 0 39 133 357 0

Date: 2017-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62507 3257 21 0 0
c1 1473 10471 2452 915 0
c2 0 1349 4222 3052 0
c3 0 36 410 1512 0
c4 0 1 85 282 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62414 3253 23 0 0
c1 1566 10466 2447 924 0
c2 0 1357 4216 2992 0
c3 0 37 419 1567 0
c4 0 1 85 278 0

Date: 2017-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63074 2592 35 4 0
c1 744 9271 3565 1185 0
c2 0 588 3485 3531 0
c3 0 18 265 1635 0
c4 0 1 44 258 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62157 2686 38 4 0
c1 1655 8779 3109 1074 0
c2 6 959 3715 3477 0
c3 0 35 439 1725 0
c4 0 11 93 333 0

Date: 2017-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63373 2580 87 3 0
c1 1160 9083 3403 1269 0
c2 0 550 3387 3256 0
c3 0 15 262 1721 0
c4 0 5 60 225 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62630 2724 102 3 0
c1 1902 8614 2949 1090 0
c2 1 837 3627 3254 0
c3 0 50 402 1842 0
c4 0 8 119 285 0

Date: 2017-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61099 2734 76 11 0
c1 1123 9000 4226 1108 0
c2 0 761 3244 3334 0
c3 0 23 314 1584 0
c4 0 6 62 285 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60556 2914 108 19 0
c1 1662 8387 3624 974 0
c2 4 1164 3601 3343 0
c3 0 46 481 1627 0
c4 0 13 108 359 0


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