Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-10-19

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 86427 3198 0 0 0
c1 1182 8515 822 174 0
c2 16 1474 1177 1355 0
c3 4 324 745 666 0
c4 0 153 398 292 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 85362 3208 0 0 0
c1 575 10467 1546 457 0
c2 0 356 1359 1624 0
c3 0 29 209 584 0
c4 0 5 112 915 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 83716 3255 0 0 0
c1 810 10753 2431 570 0
c2 0 209 1014 1923 0
c3 0 20 108 614 0
c4 0 2 112 801 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 81369 3176 16 0 0
c1 883 11120 2925 640 0
c2 0 347 1319 1798 0
c3 0 26 160 466 0
c4 0 10 161 545 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 81332 3313 15 0 0
c1 920 10983 2916 645 0
c2 0 347 1330 1777 0
c3 0 28 157 485 0
c4 0 8 163 542 0

Date: 2017-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 82374 3183 62 1 0
c1 830 11116 3413 730 0
c2 0 404 1606 1615 0
c3 0 35 217 339 0
c4 0 9 173 276 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 82397 3401 59 1 0
c1 807 10860 3373 738 0
c2 0 448 1623 1594 0
c3 0 28 242 349 0
c4 0 10 174 279 0

Date: 2017-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 80742 3180 27 10 0
c1 408 10679 3963 1101 0
c2 0 97 1201 1595 0
c3 0 9 124 217 0
c4 0 4 62 108 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 80291 3211 85 9 0
c1 859 10451 3614 829 0
c2 0 285 1354 1703 0
c3 0 9 201 327 0
c4 0 13 123 163 0

Date: 2017-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76525 3148 19 0 0
c1 515 10920 4731 1112 0
c2 0 86 1186 1700 0
c3 0 3 119 304 0
c4 0 0 63 86 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76433 3476 74 22 0
c1 604 10390 3983 913 0
c2 3 286 1716 1695 0
c3 0 2 211 383 0
c4 0 3 134 189 0

Date: 2017-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78491 3009 42 0 0
c1 823 10343 4896 1524 0
c2 0 146 1214 1738 0
c3 0 3 101 184 0
c4 0 3 56 93 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78187 3612 96 27 0
c1 1120 9476 3960 1214 0
c2 7 411 2031 1854 0
c3 0 1 131 293 0
c4 0 4 91 151 0


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