Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-03-23

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51411 1668 35 35 0
c1 637 2970 215 134 0
c2 76 3456 2127 978 0
c3 1 1436 3637 3567 0
c4 0 337 1472 2872 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51235 1581 32 9 0
c1 458 3561 468 157 0
c2 39 3253 2406 1026 0
c3 0 1387 3767 3868 0
c4 0 700 1548 2958 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50503 1633 17 5 0
c1 644 3893 487 103 0
c2 30 2900 2753 1171 0
c3 1 1306 2848 4546 0
c4 0 432 1192 2963 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51560 2109 19 3 0
c1 685 3968 559 198 0
c2 40 2633 2857 1102 0
c3 0 942 2739 3268 0
c4 0 376 1040 2038 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51500 2093 21 6 0
c1 753 3947 574 204 0
c2 32 2637 2822 1080 0
c3 0 952 2781 3325 0
c4 0 399 1016 1994 0

Date: 2017-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52407 1862 17 7 0
c1 686 3704 656 296 0
c2 27 2533 2374 1493 0
c3 3 941 2483 3475 0
c4 0 366 995 2078 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52386 1845 21 8 0
c1 702 3685 649 325 0
c2 32 2539 2393 1411 0
c3 3 953 2484 3573 0
c4 0 384 978 2032 0

Date: 2017-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51281 1670 17 5 0
c1 429 3533 584 270 0
c2 6 2496 2408 899 0
c3 0 1065 3296 3116 0
c4 0 408 1342 2826 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51008 1932 29 9 0
c1 669 3238 629 287 0
c2 39 2510 2449 867 0
c3 0 1081 3242 3242 0
c4 0 411 1298 2711 0

Date: 2017-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49629 1924 26 4 0
c1 446 3761 652 360 0
c2 0 2672 2097 933 0
c3 0 1269 4037 3098 0
c4 0 459 1956 3373 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49382 2196 34 5 0
c1 690 3374 679 385 0
c2 3 2752 2176 878 0
c3 0 1275 3993 3264 0
c4 0 488 1886 3236 0

Date: 2017-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50856 2052 21 4 0
c1 389 3579 577 483 0
c2 0 2658 2257 840 0
c3 0 1420 4166 3570 0
c4 0 694 1733 3184 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50785 2261 41 16 0
c1 458 3403 605 508 0
c2 2 2663 2410 802 0
c3 0 1321 3990 3759 0
c4 0 755 1708 2996 0


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