Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-01-05

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57573 1381 40 51 0
c1 883 6957 1379 274 0
c2 32 2627 5941 3198 0
c3 8 408 1488 3043 0
c4 0 21 148 233 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58102 2154 37 21 0
c1 383 6986 1781 352 0
c2 5 3181 5770 3505 0
c3 0 291 2447 2858 0
c4 0 7 160 260 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56888 2031 25 3 0
c1 426 6736 1762 368 0
c2 6 2484 6686 4235 0
c3 0 345 2845 2782 0
c4 0 10 129 432 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54394 1398 25 16 0
c1 636 5889 1173 231 0
c2 12 2750 6308 4187 0
c3 0 601 2464 3049 0
c4 0 1 162 613 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 0 0 0 0 0
c1 0 0 0 0 0
c2 0 0 0 0 0
c3 0 0 0 0 0
c4 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2017-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48933 1822 53 33 0
c1 1150 6304 786 220 0
c2 38 2853 5853 3734 0
c3 2 686 2364 3280 0
c4 0 28 116 337 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 0 0 0 0 0
c1 0 0 0 0 0
c2 0 0 0 0 0
c3 0 0 0 0 0
c4 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2017-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56862 1726 71 36 0
c1 950 5630 1131 117 0
c2 3 2125 5313 4046 0
c3 0 446 2591 3602 0
c4 0 4 107 314 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 0 0 0 0 0
c1 0 0 0 0 0
c2 0 0 0 0 0
c3 0 0 0 0 0
c4 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2017-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53858 1646 48 33 0
c1 1205 5786 1000 209 0
c2 2 2292 4579 3936 0
c3 0 334 2733 3623 0
c4 0 4 175 512 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 0 0 0 0 0
c1 0 0 0 0 0
c2 0 0 0 0 0
c3 0 0 0 0 0
c4 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2017-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51813 1752 57 25 0
c1 1198 6112 1047 229 0
c2 8 2113 3719 2958 0
c3 0 330 1308 3818 0
c4 0 14 188 372 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 0 0 0 0 0
c1 0 0 0 0 0
c2 0 0 0 0 0
c3 0 0 0 0 0
c4 0 0 0 0 0


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