Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-12-15

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 64686 2650 36 8 0
c1 892 8083 1331 318 0
c2 13 1652 4783 4386 0
c3 3 92 812 1377 0
c4 0 0 48 158 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 63858 2455 19 23 0
c1 641 9110 1001 173 0
c2 5 2069 4823 3099 0
c3 5 89 1166 1707 0
c4 0 0 61 247 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 59929 2322 18 15 0
c1 859 9724 998 81 0
c2 26 2431 4473 2750 0
c3 8 136 1085 1525 0
c4 0 17 86 226 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 58755 2381 24 49 0
c1 766 9487 1570 138 0
c2 15 3081 4471 2634 0
c3 5 187 691 1665 0
c4 0 21 93 135 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 58758 2390 25 49 0
c1 763 9442 1562 142 0
c2 18 3113 4456 2628 0
c3 2 191 716 1673 0
c4 0 21 90 129 0

Date: 2016-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 60183 1748 26 39 0
c1 1169 8495 1756 202 0
c2 49 3528 4925 2860 0
c3 5 231 591 2065 0
c4 0 8 111 101 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 60217 1764 26 39 0
c1 1130 8476 1748 202 0
c2 57 3526 4898 2893 0
c3 2 235 627 2036 0
c4 0 9 110 97 0

Date: 2016-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 60074 2024 31 51 0
c1 1350 8962 1853 87 0
c2 92 3354 5032 3097 0
c3 2 241 956 2101 0
c4 0 0 104 191 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 59403 2351 33 52 0
c1 1922 8441 1822 79 0
c2 193 3520 5068 3082 0
c3 0 268 948 2130 0
c4 0 1 105 184 0

Date: 2016-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 58551 1927 31 33 0
c1 2394 8510 1532 113 0
c2 246 2796 5182 3316 0
c3 13 296 1279 2278 0
c4 0 16 69 262 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 58012 2174 50 33 0
c1 2736 8006 1718 107 0
c2 444 2968 4914 3267 0
c3 12 381 1330 2344 0
c4 0 16 81 251 0

Date: 2016-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 56619 1827 35 8 0
c1 2698 8059 1635 215 0
c2 174 2687 5938 2999 0
c3 26 318 1229 2573 0
c4 0 25 92 252 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 56273 2026 82 8 0
c1 2583 7714 1998 284 0
c2 638 2599 5165 2839 0
c3 23 565 1589 2649 0
c4 0 12 95 267 0


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