Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-12-08

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64445 2399 13 6 0
c1 1134 7580 1358 192 0
c2 0 2013 4181 2514 0
c3 0 130 582 943 0
c4 0 12 95 326 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66805 2451 14 7 0
c1 436 7131 1209 195 0
c2 0 2183 4456 2491 0
c3 0 141 426 1135 0
c4 0 0 26 105 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66992 2538 9 13 0
c1 952 7036 1220 296 0
c2 3 1740 4230 2976 0
c3 0 94 379 1120 0
c4 0 2 18 60 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65068 2531 31 17 0
c1 1087 7615 1209 318 0
c2 10 1819 4378 3284 0
c3 2 125 624 1395 0
c4 0 1 51 83 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65095 2516 33 17 0
c1 1056 7657 1210 296 0
c2 14 1774 4326 3284 0
c3 2 143 674 1421 0
c4 0 1 50 79 0

Date: 2016-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59307 2649 28 15 0
c1 950 8347 1157 226 0
c2 17 1789 4845 5126 0
c3 5 112 1204 1869 0
c4 0 0 54 227 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59313 2713 28 13 0
c1 946 8290 1190 221 0
c2 15 1768 4740 5169 0
c3 5 126 1278 1842 0
c4 0 0 52 218 0

Date: 2016-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60511 2215 22 33 0
c1 683 9238 1004 124 0
c2 15 2394 4537 2663 0
c3 5 114 1281 1544 0
c4 0 3 72 237 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60159 2695 21 32 0
c1 1005 8754 1112 146 0
c2 35 2313 4320 2645 0
c3 15 199 1384 1542 0
c4 0 3 79 236 0

Date: 2016-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60561 2300 21 24 0
c1 847 10061 1056 72 0
c2 12 2582 4421 2787 0
c3 8 155 796 1648 0
c4 0 22 90 121 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60089 2821 22 22 0
c1 1295 9625 1248 101 0
c2 28 2423 4134 2747 0
c3 16 229 892 1644 0
c4 0 22 88 138 0

Date: 2016-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60649 2463 19 49 0
c1 950 9623 1703 155 0
c2 36 3443 4585 2784 0
c3 4 185 612 1727 0
c4 0 11 99 131 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60327 2919 45 46 0
c1 1231 9434 1933 201 0
c2 69 3067 4211 2783 0
c3 12 294 699 1661 0
c4 0 11 130 155 0


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