Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-11-17

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69496 1596 5 0 0
c1 3632 10727 3330 745 0
c2 2 1024 1940 2726 0
c3 0 320 739 1035 0
c4 0 151 387 727 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74762 1743 9 3 0
c1 1275 9786 2800 1072 0
c2 4 1270 2081 2956 0
c3 0 637 441 938 0
c4 0 196 316 831 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71985 1858 7 2 0
c1 2166 8709 2482 1254 0
c2 2 1576 3395 6482 0
c3 0 502 554 1045 0
c4 0 68 380 862 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68209 1720 7 1 0
c1 3189 8480 1923 741 0
c2 16 1631 3773 6023 0
c3 2 522 683 898 0
c4 0 17 312 1056 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68151 1751 6 1 0
c1 3244 8451 1869 720 0
c2 17 1626 3859 6050 0
c3 4 533 689 917 0
c4 0 9 275 1031 0

Date: 2016-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67139 1583 6 5 0
c1 2842 8816 1565 681 0
c2 11 1620 4168 5820 0
c3 2 272 936 920 0
c4 0 1 167 624 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66939 1560 6 6 0
c1 3041 8855 1556 705 0
c2 12 1604 4213 5798 0
c3 2 273 916 970 0
c4 0 0 151 571 0

Date: 2016-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72984 1892 4 1 0
c1 906 9144 1413 433 0
c2 6 1654 4347 3661 0
c3 0 206 1075 975 0
c4 0 3 200 508 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71568 1598 7 3 0
c1 2302 9324 1384 457 0
c2 23 1744 4402 3660 0
c3 3 230 1063 957 0
c4 0 3 183 501 0

Date: 2016-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72083 1977 3 0 0
c1 1133 8554 1761 329 0
c2 8 961 4037 2873 0
c3 0 166 635 1264 0
c4 0 2 75 531 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71262 1639 3 0 0
c1 1895 8783 1753 267 0
c2 43 1011 3998 3004 0
c3 24 227 691 1231 0
c4 0 0 66 495 0

Date: 2016-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69039 1921 1 0 0
c1 1174 8044 2201 391 0
c2 0 1003 3752 2980 0
c3 0 180 351 1396 0
c4 0 1 106 409 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68353 1694 1 0 0
c1 1849 7980 1939 318 0
c2 11 1236 4036 3143 0
c3 0 238 329 1343 0
c4 0 1 106 372 0


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