Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-11-10

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74219 1833 5 6 0
c1 4618 10745 2331 757 0
c2 3 994 1604 1760 0
c3 0 144 450 1130 0
c4 0 33 292 554 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66150 1636 7 0 0
c1 4697 11580 2127 730 0
c2 1 1065 1688 1996 0
c3 0 387 559 793 0
c4 0 143 502 566 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74494 1595 0 0 0
c1 4373 12043 2015 786 0
c2 2 1217 2007 2566 0
c3 0 318 835 815 0
c4 0 42 323 873 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72101 1556 2 0 0
c1 3768 11507 2919 711 0
c2 4 1002 2325 2897 0
c3 0 343 1009 864 0
c4 0 128 572 548 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72258 1613 2 0 0
c1 3609 11475 2926 716 0
c2 6 988 2400 2903 0
c3 0 326 925 843 0
c4 0 134 574 558 0

Date: 2016-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70637 1554 9 2 0
c1 3862 10135 3105 881 0
c2 3 969 2142 2547 0
c3 0 407 541 1146 0
c4 0 95 261 924 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70747 1601 9 2 0
c1 3751 10071 3063 882 0
c2 4 986 2218 2574 0
c3 0 422 519 1094 0
c4 0 80 249 948 0

Date: 2016-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72739 1857 14 2 0
c1 1639 9219 2956 1238 0
c2 1 1361 2386 4282 0
c3 0 544 534 890 0
c4 0 125 363 864 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70738 1643 16 2 0
c1 3612 9214 2996 1202 0
c2 29 1505 2344 4384 0
c3 0 667 561 854 0
c4 0 77 336 834 0

Date: 2016-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72398 1608 4 1 0
c1 2763 8670 1772 948 0
c2 8 1759 3847 6864 0
c3 0 701 544 759 0
c4 0 75 444 505 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69954 1442 7 2 0
c1 5141 8563 1826 917 0
c2 68 1924 3801 6917 0
c3 6 819 529 744 0
c4 0 65 448 497 0

Date: 2016-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72757 1606 7 3 0
c1 3327 8159 1996 790 0
c2 12 1560 3940 5380 0
c3 1 270 854 823 0
c4 0 3 132 528 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70199 1419 7 3 0
c1 5803 7861 1999 803 0
c2 66 1925 3958 5353 0
c3 29 391 813 826 0
c4 0 2 152 539 0


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