Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-11-03

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72139 1542 0 0 0
c1 6285 11012 1662 789 0
c2 14 979 1171 1654 0
c3 1 384 410 956 0
c4 0 178 277 1169 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 81365 1678 0 0 0
c1 2650 10820 1452 580 0
c2 2 951 1084 1040 0
c3 0 227 330 823 0
c4 0 143 344 1348 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74539 1957 1 0 0
c1 4595 10523 1565 827 0
c2 2 1126 1141 1271 0
c3 0 257 404 818 0
c4 0 198 441 634 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73762 1787 2 0 0
c1 4946 10553 1939 748 0
c2 11 1043 1573 1454 0
c3 0 179 490 1284 0
c4 0 69 336 940 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73570 1785 2 0 0
c1 5141 10562 1982 781 0
c2 7 1031 1547 1449 0
c3 1 182 473 1255 0
c4 0 71 336 941 0

Date: 2016-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73285 1718 1 0 0
c1 4799 10953 2306 860 0
c2 2 964 1798 2003 0
c3 0 196 488 1026 0
c4 0 47 432 628 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73140 1745 1 0 0
c1 4940 10898 2318 890 0
c2 6 960 1802 2038 0
c3 0 225 483 976 0
c4 0 50 421 613 0

Date: 2016-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71668 1603 1 0 0
c1 4538 12182 1987 714 0
c2 0 1211 1790 2015 0
c3 0 350 808 630 0
c4 0 70 454 655 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71594 1636 1 0 0
c1 4606 12048 1989 799 0
c2 6 1273 1831 1963 0
c3 0 390 812 627 0
c4 0 69 407 625 0

Date: 2016-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71050 1618 1 0 0
c1 3899 11951 2453 706 0
c2 6 1043 2264 2881 0
c3 0 361 945 803 0
c4 0 90 483 897 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71093 1669 1 0 0
c1 3843 11723 2355 689 0
c2 14 1205 2440 2931 0
c3 5 371 896 846 0
c4 0 95 454 821 0

Date: 2016-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69496 1596 5 0 0
c1 3632 10727 3330 745 0
c2 2 1024 1940 2726 0
c3 0 320 739 1035 0
c4 0 151 387 727 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69431 1693 5 0 0
c1 3659 10334 3268 815 0
c2 35 1288 2068 2723 0
c3 5 332 743 1032 0
c4 0 171 317 663 0


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