Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-10-20

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 84360 2196 0 0 0
c1 4903 8649 2342 1556 0
c2 1 802 1782 1923 0
c3 0 360 623 752 0
c4 0 108 544 799 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 85473 2167 0 0 0
c1 4458 8961 2096 1142 0
c2 2 897 2124 1710 0
c3 0 325 505 685 0
c4 0 55 363 470 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 82851 2060 2 0 0
c1 4758 9505 2236 1273 0
c2 10 548 2115 1646 0
c3 1 343 397 393 0
c4 0 62 293 498 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 79927 1956 2 0 0
c1 4665 9900 1570 869 0
c2 8 574 1319 1452 0
c3 1 457 483 513 0
c4 0 136 556 473 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 79835 1954 2 0 0
c1 4757 9926 1577 884 0
c2 9 553 1293 1440 0
c3 0 421 504 497 0
c4 0 169 554 486 0

Date: 2016-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77952 1910 1 0 0
c1 4759 9965 2005 756 0
c2 15 699 1008 1176 0
c3 8 492 372 369 0
c4 0 125 562 482 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77833 1931 1 0 0
c1 4878 9943 2037 814 0
c2 12 698 976 1115 0
c3 11 473 371 346 0
c4 0 146 563 508 0

Date: 2016-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78606 1709 4 0 0
c1 4603 9868 2402 958 0
c2 6 799 964 1360 0
c3 1 455 462 430 0
c4 0 144 497 493 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78349 1750 2 0 0
c1 4838 9771 2452 942 0
c2 19 825 948 1386 0
c3 10 464 454 406 0
c4 0 165 473 507 0

Date: 2016-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 80441 1661 0 0 0
c1 5177 11283 1897 584 0
c2 14 1148 987 1032 0
c3 2 550 500 513 0
c4 0 352 353 482 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 79932 2108 0 0 0
c1 5597 10828 1760 511 0
c2 55 1090 1182 1074 0
c3 49 535 492 539 0
c4 1 433 303 487 0

Date: 2016-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72139 1542 0 0 0
c1 6285 11012 1662 789 0
c2 14 979 1171 1654 0
c3 1 384 410 956 0
c4 0 178 277 1169 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71817 2203 0 0 0
c1 6420 10006 1697 614 0
c2 85 1247 1245 1809 0
c3 114 369 335 1015 0
c4 3 270 243 1130 0


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