Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-10-13

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 89659 2362 0 0 0
c1 2902 9278 1133 660 0
c2 13 1499 1566 1639 0
c3 2 618 490 657 0
c4 0 488 514 1875 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 85970 2185 0 0 0
c1 4517 8844 1692 963 0
c2 3 1060 1620 2098 0
c3 0 604 579 509 0
c4 0 378 644 510 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 86354 2093 0 0 0
c1 5043 9331 1818 679 0
c2 6 873 1632 2384 0
c3 2 333 494 1043 0
c4 0 144 454 868 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 85550 2070 0 0 0
c1 5079 9040 2149 1178 0
c2 6 936 1760 1852 0
c3 0 485 626 698 0
c4 0 164 569 725 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 85617 2058 0 0 0
c1 5008 9072 2136 1198 0
c2 10 896 1775 1822 0
c3 0 479 594 695 0
c4 0 190 599 738 0

Date: 2016-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 85116 2222 0 0 0
c1 4774 8813 2378 1309 0
c2 3 816 1941 1880 0
c3 1 316 553 870 0
c4 0 84 351 691 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 84904 2176 0 0 0
c1 4986 8864 2330 1311 0
c2 3 787 1969 1886 0
c3 1 317 550 825 0
c4 0 107 374 728 0

Date: 2016-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 82021 2115 0 0 0
c1 4878 8940 2350 1144 0
c2 7 672 2365 1788 0
c3 0 316 490 479 0
c4 0 56 316 506 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 81365 2148 0 0 0
c1 5523 8880 2260 1146 0
c2 13 641 2445 1786 0
c3 5 315 488 488 0
c4 0 115 328 497 0

Date: 2016-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 81196 1988 1 0 0
c1 4622 9880 1734 1134 0
c2 12 616 1698 1681 0
c3 7 447 434 305 0
c4 0 191 419 439 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 80543 2157 1 0 0
c1 5266 9709 1776 1085 0
c2 18 584 1607 1700 0
c3 10 413 472 334 0
c4 0 259 430 440 0

Date: 2016-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 82759 1975 2 0 0
c1 4792 9888 1748 810 0
c2 12 621 1059 1270 0
c3 5 376 385 522 0
c4 0 71 535 526 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 82479 2219 2 0 0
c1 5085 9660 1799 935 0
c2 4 623 983 1117 0
c3 0 347 404 550 0
c4 0 82 541 526 0


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