Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-03-03

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52663 969 9 18 0
c1 1326 5647 663 299 0
c2 72 2409 2103 1100 0
c3 0 705 2757 2536 0
c4 0 121 1036 2616 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52330 1304 9 29 0
c1 982 5357 690 316 0
c2 46 2081 2119 975 1
c3 11 778 2779 2582 0
c4 0 134 1079 2766 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53738 1345 14 42 0
c1 1471 5247 1146 428 0
c2 73 1936 2096 1083 0
c3 4 877 2471 2485 0
c4 0 81 795 2949 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53031 1421 11 42 0
c1 2223 4953 711 360 0
c2 48 1964 2036 1200 0
c3 0 596 2558 2234 0
c4 0 54 708 2609 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53077 1445 12 44 0
c1 2176 4947 719 380 0
c2 49 1919 2081 1164 0
c3 0 615 2496 2238 0
c4 0 62 716 2619 0

Date: 2016-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52449 1460 23 14 0
c1 1952 5337 738 201 0
c2 43 2392 2049 1165 0
c3 0 951 2466 2495 0
c4 0 81 823 2682 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52499 1472 23 14 0
c1 1902 5387 769 224 0
c2 43 2327 2065 1162 0
c3 0 966 2412 2477 0
c4 0 69 830 2680 0

Date: 2016-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52989 1514 26 18 0
c1 1355 4876 660 275 0
c2 37 2205 2199 963 0
c3 10 866 2370 2521 0
c4 0 53 760 2795 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52696 1617 35 23 0
c1 1668 4685 673 263 0
c2 26 2224 2242 990 0
c3 1 917 2260 2473 0
c4 0 71 805 2823 0

Date: 2016-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52885 1615 26 8 0
c1 1681 5161 810 301 0
c2 47 2018 2117 947 0
c3 2 669 2272 2272 0
c4 0 58 619 2437 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52480 1686 23 12 0
c1 2097 4950 828 288 0
c2 38 2058 2159 955 0
c3 0 748 2166 2246 0
c4 0 79 668 2464 0

Date: 2016-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50733 1525 36 32 0
c1 1843 5065 1050 389 0
c2 50 2359 2016 1095 0
c3 0 773 1948 2503 0
c4 0 162 853 2776 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50284 1694 56 34 0
c1 2286 4688 1038 391 0
c2 56 2336 1966 1111 0
c3 0 911 1929 2445 0
c4 0 255 914 2814 0


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