Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-02-11

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54299 1262 37 49 0
c1 1007 4651 613 244 0
c2 40 1853 2878 1693 0
c3 0 344 2518 3436 0
c4 0 49 536 3422 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54679 1425 19 32 0
c1 862 4954 822 339 0
c2 30 1756 2563 1784 0
c3 1 355 2433 3549 0
c4 0 38 497 2881 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54100 1459 11 18 0
c1 1505 4718 649 175 0
c2 55 1978 3021 1425 0
c3 0 448 2696 3559 0
c4 0 36 584 2770 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52878 1220 23 23 0
c1 1596 4798 577 181 0
c2 69 2623 3026 1187 0
c3 0 702 2964 3147 0
c4 0 110 745 2432 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52929 1320 22 24 0
c1 1545 4696 598 182 0
c2 69 2621 3029 1245 0
c3 0 698 2930 3083 0
c4 0 118 756 2436 0

Date: 2016-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53876 1066 14 20 0
c1 1553 4538 521 169 0
c2 86 2359 2730 1208 0
c3 0 771 2944 3000 0
c4 0 76 766 2897 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53834 1085 12 21 0
c1 1593 4517 534 171 0
c2 88 2368 2722 1287 0
c3 0 763 2929 2895 0
c4 0 77 778 2920 0

Date: 2016-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53568 1431 18 22 0
c1 1283 4850 468 174 0
c2 80 2147 2483 1254 0
c3 0 604 3189 3419 0
c4 0 64 821 2708 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53078 1215 23 28 0
c1 1717 4872 465 153 0
c2 136 2271 2465 1345 0
c3 0 678 3181 3334 0
c4 0 60 845 2717 0

Date: 2016-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53583 1484 33 28 0
c1 1628 5039 556 275 0
c2 124 2210 2173 1016 0
c3 1 516 2783 3296 0
c4 0 22 672 3097 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53180 1315 34 46 0
c1 1944 5076 591 275 0
c2 196 2267 2084 1073 0
c3 16 575 2805 3228 0
c4 0 38 703 3090 0

Date: 2016-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50330 1264 8 62 0
c1 2139 4708 622 251 0
c2 148 2179 2011 1165 0
c3 8 525 3086 3405 0
c4 0 68 777 3301 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49893 1164 8 50 0
c1 2444 4705 731 294 0
c2 266 2238 2086 1242 0
c3 22 579 2902 3347 0
c4 0 58 777 3251 0


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