Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-01-14

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2016-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53394 1200 19 48 0
c1 1382 5502 1418 532 0
c2 7 2380 3744 1827 0
c3 0 273 2834 3281 0
c4 0 32 1441 3212 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53957 1307 16 74 0
c1 779 5487 1672 509 0
c2 16 2433 3946 2576 0
c3 0 334 2512 3635 0
c4 0 87 962 3850 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55014 1303 33 35 0
c1 1070 6009 1406 571 0
c2 20 2366 2968 2175 0
c3 0 578 2135 3530 0
c4 0 167 604 2908 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53870 1349 38 12 0
c1 1300 5742 1315 383 0
c2 19 2338 3164 2192 0
c3 0 558 1757 2962 0
c4 0 110 310 2101 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53869 1348 37 12 0
c1 1297 5748 1313 378 0
c2 23 2324 3187 2198 0
c3 0 566 1757 2972 0
c4 0 111 290 2090 0

Date: 2016-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52726 1232 30 19 0
c1 1397 5428 1255 338 0
c2 51 2568 3258 2135 0
c3 0 406 1687 2782 0
c4 0 87 375 2660 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52688 1217 29 19 0
c1 1433 5438 1240 327 0
c2 53 2565 3327 2235 0
c3 0 416 1648 2696 0
c4 0 85 361 2657 0

Date: 2016-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54995 1104 34 32 0
c1 918 4945 1003 537 0
c2 68 2539 3423 2163 0
c3 0 446 1721 2564 0
c4 0 75 459 2697 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54428 1104 35 39 0
c1 1470 4705 956 442 0
c2 83 2805 3554 2267 0
c3 0 427 1642 2559 0
c4 0 68 453 2686 0

Date: 2016-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48097 901 35 33 0
c1 882 5282 816 416 0
c2 43 2216 3692 2680 0
c3 0 290 1400 3158 0
c4 0 58 488 2593 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47513 791 34 29 0
c1 1438 5015 875 480 0
c2 71 2599 3691 2709 0
c3 0 288 1336 3038 0
c4 0 54 495 2624 0

Date: 2016-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54462 1217 52 33 0
c1 1057 4867 1031 476 0
c2 17 1982 3431 2776 0
c3 0 338 1334 2727 0
c4 0 49 448 2608 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53655 1144 72 37 0
c1 1815 4484 1196 536 0
c2 66 2474 3359 2880 0
c3 0 304 1174 2513 0
c4 0 47 495 2654 0


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