Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-11-12

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2015-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 70943 1596 3 0 0
c1 2943 10550 2376 549 0
c2 6 1660 6389 3552 0
c3 0 70 852 675 0
c4 0 54 167 422 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 70303 1859 4 0 0
c1 2033 10272 2414 345 0
c2 32 1772 5981 3797 0
c3 0 235 1262 666 0
c4 0 61 254 511 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 67372 1651 37 0 0
c1 2477 10953 2148 382 0
c2 71 2019 5942 4135 0
c3 0 156 1199 1139 0
c4 0 45 292 508 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 67045 1671 38 2 0
c1 3376 10640 1756 347 0
c2 97 2088 5588 4387 0
c3 0 202 1168 2176 0
c4 0 54 317 651 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 66963 1672 38 2 0
c1 3460 10598 1751 316 0
c2 95 2127 5602 4386 0
c3 0 203 1148 2227 0
c4 0 55 328 632 0

Date: 2015-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 65915 1655 41 8 0
c1 3554 9667 2124 345 0
c2 85 2154 4944 4688 0
c3 0 188 1127 2915 0
c4 0 37 236 921 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 66011 1645 41 8 0
c1 3455 9653 2060 323 0
c2 88 2191 4997 4635 0
c3 0 175 1143 3019 0
c4 0 37 231 892 0

Date: 2015-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 68852 1599 58 18 0
c1 1634 8816 2038 446 0
c2 38 2020 5563 4944 0
c3 0 137 1327 2320 0
c4 0 12 188 538 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 66908 1587 58 18 0
c1 3525 8609 1912 404 0
c2 91 2250 5674 4962 0
c3 0 126 1341 2352 0
c4 0 12 189 530 0

Date: 2015-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 67003 1798 80 29 0
c1 2097 8435 1592 347 0
c2 16 2235 6043 4512 0
c3 0 205 1464 2501 0
c4 0 45 129 521 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 65393 1822 81 29 0
c1 3673 8001 1450 348 0
c2 50 2605 6211 4393 0
c3 0 246 1432 2638 0
c4 0 44 134 502 0

Date: 2015-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 65770 1670 45 13 0
c1 2489 8747 1404 270 0
c2 3 2526 6226 3967 0
c3 0 244 1764 2731 0
c4 0 25 171 481 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 64557 1928 45 13 0
c1 3668 8038 1305 260 0
c2 37 2771 6050 4009 0
c3 0 435 2050 2735 0
c4 0 40 160 445 0


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